Stock Market, S&P500, Nasdaq and EUR/USD Trends. EGSInvestment, Evgeni Popov, CEO

  • The S&P500, Nasdaq, and the broader technology sector will rebound and go up from March 14-17 2025 with a possible double bottom till March 28 and then Up till April 11-16. This is short term oversold market. May be this will be more than a dead cat bounce. But after that the stock market will go down sharply mostly till end of July and the beginning of July 2025 with a possible bear market.

  • The currency pair EUR/USD will go long term up with a minor pull backs of this up trend. If Trump puts strong tariffs on Europe may be this will be a temporarily pullback on EUR/USD, but after that it will go longer term up as I called when EUR/USD was - 1.03-1.05. This will depend also what FED and ECB will decide on Interest rates, but the ECB has cut the rates already aggressively and that is priced in. And Trump also wants a weak USD and wants the FED to cut rates. This will also depend on how much the Inflation will go up, because if these strong Tariffs against everyone stays this will be Inflationary and the Inflation will go up and the FED have not to cut rates but to raise them and that will be temporarily pull back on the EUR/USD. But after that the Up Trend of the EUR/USD will resume.

  • If the trend goes like the first Trump term the EUR/USD was almost the same - 1.04 with his inauguration and after his speech in March 2017 - "That the USD is overvalued and he needs a weak USD". The EUR/USD went from 1.04 to 1.22-25 till Jan 2018 and Jan-May 2021. The currency situation is now not exactly the same like 2017-2018, but the history often repeats itself. And of course the EUR/USD can't go from 1.03 to 1.20-22 in a single year, but who knows.

  • The EUR/USD is overbought on a on daily chart and close but not exactly near to overbought on a weekly chart and it is close to a correction, but that doesn't mean that it can't go further up without a correction in a short term and medium term.

  • Stanley Druckenmiller - a Hedge Fund CEO - a former Soros partner and his fund has not a single down (minus) year in the last 30 years - even in 2022 says in an Interview on CNBC on May 2024 - "That he is against Trump despite he is an Republican, and if Trump wins Presidency, with his Tariffs polisies the Inflation from Jan 20 2025 till the end of 2025 will reach 6% from 3% in 2024".


  • The FED yesterday - March 19 2025 after the desicion to leave the Interest rates Unchanged has changed his Core Inflationary outlook from - 2.5% to 2.8% till the end of the year 2025 and lowered his Growth outlook for the US economy - accelerating at just a 1.7% pace this year 2025 vs 2.1% acceleration projected in Dec. 2024 for 2025.


  • P.S. April 04 25. The EUR/USD is at short term resistance here at 1.11-1.1130 and it can pull back or correct after the big run up, for a while. And the longer term trend for the EUR/USD remains Bullish and Up.


  • P.S. April 04 25. After the big tariffs against all the world from this night, the S&P500 and NASDAQ fall by 5% per one day. Now the S&P500 now indicates at 15.50 a.m. NYT another -142 points(-2.62%) down. The Fear vs Greed Index is - 6 - Extreme Fear and Extreamly oversold and from April 07 25 the S&P500, NASDAQ and the Technology sector can bounce for a few days- 2 to 5 days, but this will be a dead cat bounce and the Bear market and the Recession will be imminent till the beginning of July 2025. And the astrological aspect Saturn Square Jupiter, which causes this correction for now and future Recession will not go out of its 8 degrees orbit and will go Retrograde and back to its exact Square from the beginning of June till the beginning of July 2025 and out of its 5-8 degrees orbit between July 11 - July 25 2025.


  • Evgeni Popov, CEO · тел. 0899927140 · E-mail: evgeni@egsinvestment.com